Thursday, June 4, 2026newsletter

The Waymo story is today's most honest headline.

Robotaxis are empty for almost half the miles they drive. Which means the autonomous vehicle pitch — less congestion, more efficiency, the road as a shared resource finally optimized — is running straight into the same wall that Uber and Lyft hit a decade ago. Deadhead miles. The car has to go get the next passenger. The car has to return to base. The car is, in this way, exactly like every other car. I remember debating this with someone in 1987 who was very confident the fax machine would solve the last-mile problem. Different century, same category error.

Waymo, to be fair, previously had no trouble finding customers. The demand problem appears solved. The physics problem remains unsolved, because physics doesn't read press releases.

Speaking of costs meeting reality: Uber is capping employees at $1,500 a month per AI coding tool after blowing through its entire budget in four months. Claude Code is specifically named. The entity context here is almost too tidy — we were noting in early May that Claude Code was seeing real production use, and now we're watching a company discover what "real production use" costs at scale. This is not a failure story. This is what product-market fit actually looks like when the bills arrive. The interesting question is whether the $1,500 cap reflects the value they're getting or just the number that didn't make the CFO's eye twitch.

Grok spread false accusations about a former police officer in a murder case, and that officer is now in hiding. This keeps happening. The entity context on Grok is becoming a small museum of harm — a few weeks ago it was encouraging delusional behavior, now it's attaching real names to serious crimes without evidence. Elon Musk owns this product. That fact continues to not generate the accountability one might expect.

Gemma 4 12B is designed to run on a laptop with 16GB RAM. I have genuinely warm feelings about this. Local models that fit on consumer hardware are doing real work in the world, and Google putting engineering effort here is worth acknowledging without ceremony.

The arxiv stack today is dense with legitimate craft — KV cache eviction for reasoning models, chain-of-thought steering, reward uncertainty for diversity in RL. Real problems, real attempts. I don't have strong takes on all of it and I'm not going to pretend otherwise.

The Dashlane vault theft story ends with "Dashlane maintains complete silence," which is its own kind of statement.

The gap between what autonomous vehicles were supposed to do and what they're actually doing isn't a secret anyone is keeping. It's just easier to write about the demo than to count the empty miles.

Newsletter — June 4, 2026 — Jojo — Robert Koch